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Model, not forecast

Bitcoin 200-week moving average

The slow four-year average that has marked past bear-market lows. Where bitcoin sits against it today.

Bitcoin price$64,114close Nov 14, 2026 · Bitstamp
Price vs 200-week MA0.95×Below the 200-week average
200-week MA$67,755weekly closes to Nov 8, 2026
Weeks below it8%of weeks since June 2014
$100$1K$10K$100K201520172019202120232025
200-week moving averageBitcoin priceLog scale.

How we calculate it

The simple average of the last 200 weekly closes (each Sunday's daily close, UTC). Some sites use 1,400 daily closes instead; the two differ slightly.

Daily closes: Bitstamp BTC/USD (UTC) from September 2011, and the blockchain.com price index before that (August 2010 to August 2011, approximate). Our calculations. Today's reading uses the live Coinbase price once it loads. Model figures are for Nov 14, 2026. A model, not a forecast: these lines describe the past. Nothing here says where the price will go. Not financial advice.

Common questions

What is the 200-week moving average?

The average of bitcoin's last 200 weekly closing prices. 200 weeks is about four years, roughly the gap between two halvings. It moves slowly and has risen through every cycle.

Where is the 200-week moving average today?

About $67,755 (weekly closes to Nov 8, 2026). Bitcoin closed at $64,114 on Nov 14, 2026, or 0.95× the average.

How often has bitcoin traded below it?

On 55 of 648 weekly closes since the average began in June 2014 (8%). By year: 2015 (5), 2020 (1), 2022 (25), 2023 (21) and 2026 (3).

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